Methodology
Where the numbers come from
This suite is built on one rule: a figure is only shown if it can be traced to a source we actually fetched, and that source is named beside it. This page is the full accounting.
The rules
1. Every value is fetched, never invented
Panels read live upstream APIs. There is no demo dataset, no seeded sample content and no back-filled history in production. The publication records in Nebula are real curated papers with DOI links; the trials, approvals and quotes in PharmaTerminal are transcribed from the registries and feeds named on each panel.
2. Unavailable beats estimated
If an upstream source is down, the interface says the data is unavailable. It does not show the last known value as if it were current, and it does not substitute a plausible-looking placeholder. You will see this behaviour on this very site: where a feed is missing, the panel states that rather than rendering a number.
3. Caveats sit on the field they concern
Where a value has a meaningful limitation, the limitation is attached to that value — for example the label effective date on a drug-labelling record, or the unknown-value convention on a trial field — rather than being relegated to a general disclaimer at the bottom of the page.
4. Sources are credited, not implied as endorsements
openFDA, ClinicalTrials.gov, PubMed/NCBI, the prediction-market venue and the publisher feeds are named as sources. None of them endorses, sponsors or is affiliated with this suite, and nothing here should be read as their statement.
Source by source — what we take and what it cannot tell you
openFDA — Drugs@FDA
Used for: PDUFA / action dates and recent authorisations: submission status dates, sponsor, route and submission type.
Limits: Reflects what has been filed and recorded, not what will happen. An action date is a scheduled date, and schedules move. Nothing here predicts an outcome.
ClinicalTrials.gov (API v2)
Used for: Registered studies: NCT identifier, phase, indication, enrolment, status and completion date.
Limits: Registry entries are sponsor-reported and vary in completeness and freshness. Fields genuinely absent at source are shown as unknown — the products display “Unknown” rather than inferring a value.
NCBI PubMed / E-utilities
Used for: Publication records behind Nebula's evidence maps and the publication layer: title, authors, journal, year, DOI and abstract.
Limits: A publication record is a record of publication, not of quality. Nebula additionally discloses that its edge set mixes deterministic keyword overlap with random sampling, and that citation data is partially sparse.
Prediction markets (Polymarket)
Used for: The R&D prediction-markets panel: keyword-matched markets on therapeutic questions.
Limits: Only markets matched to pharma and R&D keywords are listed; unrelated markets are deliberately not substituted in to fill the panel. A market price is a crowd's current opinion, not a forecast we endorse.
Market data feed
Used for: Quotes, percentage changes, volumes and short trend lines for large-cap pharma and sector indices.
Limits: Delayed quotes. Shown to demonstrate monitoring, not to trade on. We publish no price predictions and no success probabilities.
Publisher news feeds
Used for: The breaking-pharma-news panel. Headlines and timestamps are reproduced as published, tagged by event type.
Limits: Inclusion reflects what a feed published, not editorial selection or verification by us. Where a source is unreachable the feed is reported as unavailable.
What we deliberately do not do
- No success predictions. Neither product estimates the probability that a drug, trial or programme succeeds, and no panel presents one.
- No investment advice. Market and prediction-market data is shown for situational awareness. It is not a recommendation to buy or sell anything, and the products say so on the panels themselves.
- No medical advice. Nothing here is a guide to clinical care.
- No populated dashboards for the sake of looking busy. Where a corpus or panel is thin, it is shown thin. Nebula currently publishes a single curated corpus and says so.
- No tracking on this hub. This site sets no cookies of its own, runs no analytics and loads no third-party scripts. Each product’s own privacy policy covers what it does.